July 4
Global economic growth health check
Citi analysts expect a moderate but broad based pickup in global growth as structural headwinds recede. However, while a recovery in investment activity and still low interest rates are likely to be supportive of growth, there are risks to the outlook.
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Key Takeaways
- Structural headwinds to global growth over past few years are diminishing.
- The global growth backdrop remains fairly benign. Citi expects the global economy to grow 3.0% and 3.3% in 2017 and 2018 respectively.
- Risks to Citi's growth outlook include concerns about a slowdown in Chinese activity, political risks and rising skepticism over US tax reform.
Note: The Federal Budget is not set in stone, and could change as legislation passes through parliament.
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